Tuesday, August 28, 2018

$5 or 50% off: How We are Tricked by Percentages When it Comes to our Spending

There has been a certain problem that had been bothering me for a while, and, by “a while”, I mean a few years. This problem was introduced to me in a Vsauce (yeah, I know) video that I watched probably in 7th grade (which, unfortunately, I can’t seem to find), but I think it has a lot to do with how humans understand and interact with money. The premise is, if you are looking for a spatula and all the spatulas you find are $10 and you are offered 50% off a $10 spatula, you would be happy and likely buy the spatula. After all, you just saved $5. However, if you were in the market for a house, and the real estate agent agent generously offered you $5 off, you would probably laugh, and those $5 won’t be even taken into consideration. It seems to make sense, while $5 is 50% of the price of a spatula, it is incredibly tiny when compared to the price of a house. But, as Vsauce pointed out, that’s not really rational. You see, those $5 could still buy 5 Carl’s Jr. value meal cheeseburgers or 27 packets of Top Ramen, and it’s not relevant whether those $5 were saved from the spatula or the house. In short, money isn’t geometric, it’s linear, the same amount of money can buy the same product, no matter how much money you have otherwise (excluding factors like inflation which is rarely cause by one person who has accumulated a giant amount of wealth, with the exception of maybe Mansa Musa). Vsauce pointed out that, evolutionarily, it made sense to measure things geometrically, not linearly because, it’s much more important if there are 1 or 2 tigers about to attack you, an increase of 50%, than 100 or 101, 1%. As Anya said in her earlier blogpost “Marginalism: 1+1 is (marginally) greater than 100+1”, which directly inspired this post, we focus on the percent increase rather than the amount increase when we determine the utility something brings us. Again, this makes sense in a lot of situations, with many products for example. Upgrading your bed from a twin to full, an area increase of about 8 ft but of 40% is much more enjoyable than from a queen to a a king, an area increase of 9 ft but of only 30%. With money however, that is not really the case, as it’s better to have $5 added to your fortune of $1000 than $2 to your fortune of $4 because, no matter how you slice it, those $5 will buy more than $2, even if they are a smaller percent increase. Likewise, saving, or keeping, $5 on a spatula or house will still have you keep $5 more than you would have had if the item was not discounted and that $5 can be used for the same goods. In the same way, saving 60% on a $30 dollar shirt seems like a great deal, after all, it is 60% less than it should have been, but shirt that is 15% to begin with won’t even catch our eye. A high quality sock that is $5, $2 more expensive than an average one, has a opportunity cost of $2 or 40%. If we look at the opportunity cost as a percent, the 40% may not seem worth the better quality, after, all, it is just a sock. However, when you consider that the opportunity cost is only $2, or just over the price of guacamole at Chipotle (sorry, it’s the only example I could think of), and those socks will keep your feet significantly warmer and won’t get holes after wearing them twice, they begins to seem worth it. Our brains can trick us that the opportunity cost is larger or smaller than it really is by focusing on percentages and ratios, which served us well in the past and may still be useful in some situations, instead of amounts. As a rule of thumb, just remember that $1 = $1 and every dollar saved is equal to any other dollar saved, just as one dollar spent is equal to any other dollar spent, irrespective of the percent of the overall price.

3 comments:

  1. I like how you explained marginal utility in depth and provided multiple examples to support your ideas. Utility does depend on the original amount of a good. We like to look at costs in percentages. For example, if a customer has one bottle of water and bought another, he will have a greater utility than if he had twenty bottles and bought an extra. In the first case, the customer would be doubling his supply of water whereas in the latter case, he would only be increasing his total water supply by five percent.

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  2. This post reminded me of a personal anecdote. Once, while on vacation with my family in Italy, we randomly ran into friends in Venice (a crazy coincidence, we did not even know they were there!) We were discussing how expensive everything was in Venice, and the father of our friend's family said something that stuck with me: "It's all like Monopoly money while you're here." I did not agree with this statement. His perspective was that because he was already spending so much money, 50 extra dollars for a Gondola ride or something made no difference. But, if you for example went to an expensive restaurant and saw a "$50 off" sign on an entree, you are more likely to order that entree to save the $50.

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  3. I enjoyed how you simplified a pretty complex idea down to something easily understandable. Your examples provide a good image and make the concept easy to grasp. I never thought about 5 dollars being a constant 5 dollars when ignoring where it comes from. I like that what you had to say gave me things to think about, and I feel like I am more knowledgeable when it comes to shopping with discounts.

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